Una característica sorprendente de los últimos cuatro brotes de "gripe pandémica" en los Estados Unidos han sido las múltiples olas de infecciones para un mismo brote. Las alarmas por el crecimiento exponencial aparecen sobre la semana 17 del brote de propagación epidémica. El pico de la primera ola aparece sobre la semana 24 . Luego hay una disminución hasta la semana 32. Y finalmente el pico mayor en la semana 42. A Perspective on Multiple Waves of Influenza Pandemics https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0060343
Professor Gabriel Leung, chair of public health medicine at Hong Kong University, is an expert on coronavirus epidemics and played a key role during the SARS outbreak in 2002 and 2003.
At current mortality rates for COVID-19, that could mean between 45 and 60 million deaths worldwide — in the first wave alone.
“We have to prepare for that possibility that there is a second wave,” he said.
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Professor Gabriel Leung, chair of public health medicine at Hong Kong University, is an expert on coronavirus epidemics and played a key role during the SARS outbreak in 2002 and 2003.
At current mortality rates for COVID-19, that could mean between 45 and 60 million deaths worldwide — in the first wave alone.
“We have to prepare for that possibility that there is a second wave,” he said.
https://www.news.com.au/technology/public-health-expert-warns-coronavirus-could-infect-60-per-cent-of-world-population/news-story/d71b9792e47df37d44df03bbb8b3f8e3
#1 Alemania lleva más de 1.000 infectados conocidos, y solo dos muertes. Que no se flipan estos sensacionalistas.
"At current mortality rates for COVID-19, that could mean between 45 and 60 million deaths worldwide"
Bueno, pero de la gripe también se muere, esa gente podría haber muerto de un botellazo en una pelea de bar.